── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ben Shelton
Alex De Minaur
41%59%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 37% / 63%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ben Shelton
98th · elite
Alex De Minaur
77th · strong
Return
Ben Shelton
20th · below avg
Alex De Minaur
98th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#8
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ben Shelton■ Alex De Minaur
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | QF | Ben Shelton | 6-3 6-4 |