── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ben Shelton 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Ben Shelton
Valentin Vacherot
57%43%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 93% / 7%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Ben Shelton
98th · elite
Valentin Vacherot
86th · strong
Return
Ben Shelton
20th · below avg
Valentin Vacherot
56th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#18
model rank
#29
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
MON
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Ben SheltonValentin Vacherot
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR32Ben Shelton6-4 6-4 7-6(5)
2022-10-24Las Vegas CHHardR32Ben Shelton6-7(4) 7-6(4) 6-4