── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ben Shelton 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Ben Shelton
Brandon Nakashima
62%38%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 50% / 50%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Ben Shelton
98th · elite
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Return
Ben Shelton
20th · below avg
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#18
model rank
#42
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Ben SheltonBrandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard40
Clay10
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-27Canada MastersHardR32Ben Shelton6-7(8) 6-2 7-6(5)
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersHardR16Ben Shelton7-6(6) 6-1
2025-01-13Australian OpenHardR128Ben Shelton7-6(3) 7-5 7-5
2024-07-29WashingtonHardR16Ben Shelton7-6(5) 7-6(4)
2024-04-01HoustonClayQFBen Shelton7-5 7-6(9)