── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ben Shelton 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ben Shelton
Brandon Nakashima
66%34%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 52% / 48%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ben Shelton
99th · elite
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Return
Ben Shelton
60th · average
Brandon Nakashima
69th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#5
model rank
#18
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ben Shelton■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard5–0
Clay1–0
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Canada Masters | Hard | F | Ben Shelton | 6-3 7-6(4) |
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Ben Shelton | 6-7(8) 6-2 7-6(5) |
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R16 | Ben Shelton | 7-6(6) 6-1 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Ben Shelton | 7-6(3) 7-5 7-5 |
| 2024-07-29 | Washington | Hard | R16 | Ben Shelton | 7-6(5) 7-6(4) |
| 2024-04-01 | Houston | Clay | QF | Ben Shelton | 7-5 7-6(9) |