── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ben Shelton 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ben Shelton
Flavio Cobolli
75%25%
Hard: 87% / 13%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 65% / 35%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ben Shelton
99th · elite
Flavio Cobolli
41th · average
Return
Ben Shelton
60th · average
Flavio Cobolli
63th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#5
model rank
#36
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ben Shelton■ Flavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
Hard3–1
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Munich | Clay | F | Ben Shelton | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Ben Shelton | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R16 | Ben Shelton | 6-4 4-6 7-6(1) |
| 2025-02-24 | Acapulco | Hard | R32 | Ben Shelton | 7-6(4) 7-6(4) |
| 2024-07-29 | Washington | Hard | SF | Flavio Cobolli | 4-6 7-5 6-3 |
| 2024-05-20 | Geneva | Clay | R16 | Flavio Cobolli | 4-6 7-6(1) 6-2 |