── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ben Shelton 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Ben Shelton
Gabriel Diallo
75%25%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 60% / 40%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Ben Shelton
98th · elite
Gabriel Diallo
69th · average
Return
Ben Shelton
20th · below avg
Gabriel Diallo
38th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#18
model rank
#93
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
CAN
193cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Ben SheltonGabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard21
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09DallasHardR32Ben Shelton6-4 6-4
2025-07-21WashingtonHardR16Ben Shelton6-3 6-2
2022-10-10Fairfield CHHardR16Gabriel Diallo5-7 7-6(5) 6-3