── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ben Shelton 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ben Shelton
Learner Tien
66%34%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 83% / 17%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ben Shelton
99th · elite
Learner Tien
63th · average
Return
Ben Shelton
60th · average
Learner Tien
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#5
model rank
#19
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
USA
country
USA
193cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ben Shelton■ Learner Tien
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Grass0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Canada Masters | Hard | SF | Ben Shelton | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Learner Tien | 7-6(3) 4-6 6-3 |
| 2025-06-22 | Mallorca | Grass | R16 | Learner Tien | 6-4 7-6(2) |