── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ben Shelton 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ben Shelton
Joao Fonseca
64%36%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 76% / 24%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ben Shelton
99th · elite
Joao Fonseca
82th · strong
Return
Ben Shelton
60th · average
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#5
model rank
#15
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
BRA
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ben Shelton■ Joao Fonseca
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Canada Masters | Hard | R16 | Ben Shelton | 6-3 7-6(3) |
| 2026-04-13 | Munich | Clay | QF | Ben Shelton | 6-3 3-6 6-3 |