── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Joao Fonseca 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ben Shelton
Joao Fonseca
42%58%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 67% / 33%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ben Shelton
98th · elite
Joao Fonseca
91th · elite
Return
Ben Shelton
20th · below avg
Joao Fonseca
87th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#10
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
USA
country
BRA
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ben Shelton■ Joao Fonseca
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Munich | Clay | QF | Ben Shelton | 6-3 3-6 6-3 |