── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Michael Zheng 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Michael Zheng
Kei Nishikori
57%43%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 8% / 92%
Grass: 31% / 69%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Michael Zheng
18th · poor
Kei Nishikori
25th · below avg
Return
Michael Zheng
65th · average
Kei Nishikori
73th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#97
model rank
#126
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
JPN
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Michael Zheng■ Kei Nishikori
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Canada Masters | Hard | Q1 | Michael Zheng | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2023-06-12 | Palmas Del Mar CH | Hard | F | Kei Nishikori | 6-2 7-5 |