── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Sebastian Korda 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Michael Zheng
Sebastian Korda
22%78%
Hard: 21% / 79%
Clay: 6% / 94%
Grass: 33% / 67%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Michael Zheng
19th · poor
Sebastian Korda
90th · strong
Return
Michael Zheng
64th · average
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#97
model rank
#14
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Michael Zheng■ Sebastian Korda
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09DallasHardR32Sebastian Korda6-3 6-4
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR128Michael Zheng6-4 6-4 3-6 6-7(0) 6-3