── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rafael Jodar 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Michael Zheng
Rafael Jodar
18%82%
Hard: 27% / 73%
Clay: 1% / 99%
Grass: 69% / 31%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Michael Zheng
19th · poor
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Return
Michael Zheng
64th · average
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#97
model rank
#7
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
—
USA
country
ESP
188cm
height
—
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Michael Zheng■ Rafael Jodar
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-29Tiburon CHHardSFMichael Zheng6-4 7-5