── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jakub Mensik
Novak Djokovic
24%76%
Hard: 23% / 77%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 2% / 98%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jakub Mensik
87th · strong
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Return
Jakub Mensik
70th · average
Novak Djokovic
97th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#4
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
SRB
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jakub Mensik■ Novak Djokovic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R16 | Novak Djokovic | W/O |
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | F | Jakub Mensik | 7-6(4) 7-6(4) |
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | QF | Novak Djokovic | 6-7(4) 6-1 6-4 |