── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jakub Mensik 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jakub Mensik
Nicolas Jarry
82%18%
Hard: 87% / 13%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 29% / 71%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jakub Mensik
87th · strong
Nicolas Jarry
85th · strong
Return
Jakub Mensik
70th · average
Nicolas Jarry
10th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#132
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
CHI
193cm
height
201cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jakub Mensik■ Nicolas Jarry
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Jakub Mensik | 7-6(5) 6-3 6-4 |