── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jakub Mensik a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jakub Mensik
Alexander Bublik
55%45%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 16% / 84%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jakub Mensik
84th · strong
Alexander Bublik
89th · strong
Return
Jakub Mensik
68th · average
Alexander Bublik
47th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#21
model rank
#30
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
KAZ
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jakub Mensik■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
Clay1–0
Grass0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Jakub Mensik | 6-4 7-6(5) |
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R16 | Jakub Mensik | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2025-02-03 | Rotterdam | Hard | R32 | Jakub Mensik | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Alexander Bublik | 4-6 6-7(2) 6-4 6-4 6-2 |