── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jakub Mensik 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jakub Mensik
Reilly Opelka
76%24%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 47% / 53%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jakub Mensik
84th · strong
Reilly Opelka
97th · elite
Return
Jakub Mensik
68th · average
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#21
model rank
#100
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
USA
193cm
height
211cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jakub Mensik■ Reilly Opelka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-23 | Eastbourne | Grass | R16 | Jakub Mensik | 7-5 6-3 |