── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jakub Mensik
Frances Tiafoe
45%55%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 18% / 82%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jakub Mensik
87th · strong
Frances Tiafoe
77th · strong
Return
Jakub Mensik
70th · average
Frances Tiafoe
80th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#12
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
USA
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jakub Mensik■ Frances Tiafoe
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(11) |
| 2025-09-12 | Davis Cup QLS R2: USA vs CZE | Hard | RR | Jakub Mensik | 6-1 6-4 |