── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jakub Mensik
Casper Ruud
47%53%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 55% / 45%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jakub Mensik
85th · strong
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Return
Jakub Mensik
77th · strong
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#13
model rank
#11
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
NOR
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jakub Mensik■ Casper Ruud
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | United Cup | Hard | RR | Jakub Mensik | 7-5 7-6(6) |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Jakub Mensik | 6-2 3-6 6-1 6-4 |