── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jakub Mensik 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jakub Mensik
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
62%38%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 62% / 38%
Grass: 35% / 65%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jakub Mensik
85th · strong
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Return
Jakub Mensik
77th · strong
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#13
model rank
#33
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
ESP
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jakub Mensik■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–4
Grass0–1
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-2 4-6 6-2 |
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2025-06-23 | Eastbourne | Grass | QF | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 3-6 4-6 7-6(7) 6-4 6-2 |
| 2024-02-26 | Dubai | Hard | R16 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 7-6(7) 1-0 RET |
| 2024-02-19 | Doha | Hard | R32 | Jakub Mensik | 7-6(3) 6-4 |