── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jakub Mensik
Alex De Minaur
43%57%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 12% / 88%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jakub Mensik
87th · strong
Alex De Minaur
72th · strong
Return
Jakub Mensik
70th · average
Alex De Minaur
99th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#10
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
AUS
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jakub Mensik■ Alex De Minaur
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard0–5
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Jakub Mensik | 0-6 6-2 6-2 6-3 |
| 2026-01-05 | United Cup | Hard | RR | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 6-1 |
| 2025-09-25 | Beijing | Hard | QF | Alex De Minaur | 4-1 RET |
| 2025-09-19 | Laver Cup | Hard | RR | Alex De Minaur | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-02-03 | Rotterdam | Hard | R16 | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-10-21 | Vienna | Hard | QF | Alex De Minaur | 6-7(2) 6-3 6-4 |