── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jakub Mensik 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jakub Mensik
Alexei Popyrin
74%26%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 56% / 44%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jakub Mensik
84th · strong
Alexei Popyrin
73th · strong
Return
Jakub Mensik
68th · average
Alexei Popyrin
25th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#21
model rank
#90
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
AUS
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jakub Mensik■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
Hard2–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Alexei Popyrin | 6-3 2-6 6-4 |
| 2026-02-23 | Dubai | Hard | R16 | Jakub Mensik | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-10-21 | Vienna | Hard | R32 | Jakub Mensik | 7-6(3) 6-2 |
| 2024-07-22 | Umag | Clay | R32 | Jakub Mensik | 6-3 6-2 |