── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 91% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jakub Mensik
Jannik Sinner
9%91%
Hard: 8% / 92%
Clay: 15% / 85%
Grass: 4% / 96%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jakub Mensik
85th · strong
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Return
Jakub Mensik
77th · strong
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#13
model rank
#1
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
ITA
193cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jakub Mensik■ Jannik Sinner
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Doha | Hard | QF | Jakub Mensik | 7-6(3) 2-6 6-3 |

