── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima a slight 50% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jakub Mensik
Brandon Nakashima
50%50%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 17% / 83%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jakub Mensik
87th · strong
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Return
Jakub Mensik
70th · average
Brandon Nakashima
68th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#17
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
USA
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jakub Mensik■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Laver Cup | Hard | RR | Brandon Nakashima | 6-1 3-6 10-7 |
| 2026-07-30 | Washington | Hard | R16 | Brandon Nakashima | 7-6(5) 3-6 6-4 |
| 2024-01-15 | Australian Open | Hard | Q1 | Jakub Mensik | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2024-01-01 | Canberra CH | Hard | SF | Jakub Mensik | 7-5 7-5 |