── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jakub Mensik 88% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jakub Mensik
Luca Nardi
88%12%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 75% / 25%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jakub Mensik
87th · strong
Luca Nardi
9th · poor
Return
Jakub Mensik
70th · average
Luca Nardi
33th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#18
model rank
#175
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
ITA
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jakub Mensik■ Luca Nardi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Luca Nardi | 6-2 2-1 RET |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | Q1 | Jakub Mensik | 6-4 6-2 |