── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rafael Jodar 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jakub Mensik
Rafael Jodar
41%59%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 61% / 39%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jakub Mensik
85th · strong
Rafael Jodar
76th · strong
Return
Jakub Mensik
77th · strong
Rafael Jodar
96th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#13
model rank
#6
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
CZE
country
ESP
193cm
height
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jakub MensikRafael Jodar
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR64Jakub Mensik6-2 6-4 6-4