── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Rafael Jodar 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jakub Mensik
Rafael Jodar
41%59%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 54% / 46%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jakub Mensik
87th · strong
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Return
Jakub Mensik
70th · average
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#18
model rank
#7
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
—
CZE
country
ESP
193cm
height
—
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Jakub Mensik■ Rafael Jodar
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR64Jakub Mensik6-2 6-4 6-4