── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jaime Faria 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jaime Faria
Elias Ymer
76%24%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jaime Faria
40th · average
Elias Ymer
4th · poor
Return
Jaime Faria
36th · below avg
Elias Ymer
14th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#69
model rank
#168
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
POR
country
SWE
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jaime Faria■ Elias Ymer
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-28 | Porto CH | Hard | R32 | Elias Ymer | 2-6 7-6(3) 7-5 |
| 2024-05-13 | Oeiras CH | Clay | F | Jaime Faria | 3-6 7-6(3) 6-4 |