── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jaime Faria 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jaime Faria
Nicolas Jarry
64%36%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 31% / 69%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jaime Faria
40th · average
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Return
Jaime Faria
36th · below avg
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#69
model rank
#126
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
POR
country
CHI
188cm
height
201cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jaime FariaNicolas Jarry
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13Oeiras 3 CHClayR16Jaime FariaW/O
2026-02-16Rio de JaneiroClayQ1Jaime Faria7-6(6) 6-7(4) 6-3