── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jaime Faria 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jaime Faria
Nicolas Jarry
64%36%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 44% / 56%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jaime Faria
49th · average
Nicolas Jarry
85th · strong
Return
Jaime Faria
33th · below avg
Nicolas Jarry
10th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#71
model rank
#131
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
POR
country
CHI
188cm
height
201cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jaime Faria■ Nicolas Jarry
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Oeiras 3 CH | Clay | R16 | Jaime Faria | W/O |
| 2026-02-16 | Rio de Janeiro | Clay | Q1 | Jaime Faria | 7-6(6) 6-7(4) 6-3 |