── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Denis Shapovalov 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jaime Faria
Denis Shapovalov
42%58%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 65% / 35%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jaime Faria
49th · average
Denis Shapovalov
61th · average
Return
Jaime Faria
33th · below avg
Denis Shapovalov
85th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#71
model rank
#49
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
POR
country
CAN
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jaime Faria■ Denis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Jaime Faria | 6-4 7-5 6-4 |
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Jaime Faria | 6-4 7-5 6-4 |