── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jaime Faria a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jaime Faria
Sebastian Baez
52%48%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 68% / 32%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jaime Faria
40th · average
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Jaime Faria
36th · below avg
Sebastian Baez
85th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#69
model rank
#77
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
POR
country
ARG
188cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jaime FariaSebastian Baez
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16Rio de JaneiroClayR32Jaime Faria7-5 6-1