── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jaime Faria 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jaime Faria
Shintaro Mochizuki
73%27%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 36% / 64%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jaime Faria
49th · average
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Jaime Faria
34th · below avg
Shintaro Mochizuki
85th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#71
model rank
#166
Clay
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
POR
country
JPN
188cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Jaime Faria■ Shintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
Grass0–1
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-28TokyoHardQ1Jaime Faria6-2 6-4
2025-06-16Nottingham 2 CHGrassQFShintaro Mochizuki6-2 6-0
2024-05-13Oeiras CHClayR32Jaime Faria6-2 6-4