── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ethan Quinn 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Ethan Quinn
Yoshihito Nishioka
62%38%
Hard: 67% / 33%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 66% / 34%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Ethan Quinn
52th · average
Yoshihito Nishioka
20th · below avg
Return
Ethan Quinn
19th · poor
Yoshihito Nishioka
57th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#81
model rank
#128
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
JPN
191cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Ethan QuinnYoshihito Nishioka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-27Canada MastersHardR128Ethan Quinn7-6(1) 6-2