── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ethan Quinn a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ethan Quinn
Jordan Thompson
55%45%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 44% / 56%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ethan Quinn
65th · average
Jordan Thompson
66th · average
Return
Ethan Quinn
38th · below avg
Jordan Thompson
62th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#63
model rank
#81
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ethan Quinn■ Jordan Thompson
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-31 | Houston | Clay | R32 | Ethan Quinn | 4-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2022-09-26 | Charleston CH | Hard | R16 | Jordan Thompson | 6-2 2-6 6-3 |