── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jordan Thompson a slight 50% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Ethan Quinn
Jordan Thompson
50%50%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 70% / 30%
Grass: 27% / 73%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Ethan Quinn
52th · average
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Return
Ethan Quinn
19th · poor
Jordan Thompson
64th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#81
model rank
#80
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Ethan QuinnJordan Thompson
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Hard01
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-03-31HoustonClayR32Ethan Quinn4-6 6-4 6-3
2022-09-26Charleston CHHardR16Jordan Thompson6-2 2-6 6-3