── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Karen Khachanov 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Ethan Quinn
Karen Khachanov
34%66%
Hard: 39% / 61%
Clay: 18% / 82%
Grass: 34% / 66%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Ethan Quinn
65th · average
Karen Khachanov
90th · elite
Return
Ethan Quinn
38th · below avg
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#63
model rank
#26
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
RUS
191cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Ethan Quinn■ Karen Khachanov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-16HalleGrassR32Ethan Quinn1-6 6-4 6-4
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardR64Karen Khachanov6-1 6-1