── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ethan Quinn 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ethan Quinn
Reilly Opelka
60%40%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 66% / 34%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ethan Quinn
65th · average
Reilly Opelka
97th · elite
Return
Ethan Quinn
38th · below avg
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#63
model rank
#100
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
191cm
height
211cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ethan Quinn■ Reilly Opelka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Barcelona | Clay | R32 | Ethan Quinn | 7-5 7-6(7) |
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Reilly Opelka | 7-5 7-6(3) |