── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ethan Quinn 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ethan Quinn
Mattia Bellucci
60%40%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 36% / 64%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ethan Quinn
52th · average
Mattia Bellucci
34th · below avg
Return
Ethan Quinn
19th · poor
Mattia Bellucci
24th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#81
model rank
#123
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
ITA
191cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ethan Quinn■ Mattia Bellucci
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | Tokyo | Hard | Q2 | Ethan Quinn | 4-6 6-4 7-5 |