── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Ethan Quinn
Daniel Merida Aguilar
37%63%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 24% / 76%
Grass: 79% / 21%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Ethan Quinn
65th · average
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Return
Ethan Quinn
38th · below avg
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#63
model rank
#31
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ESP
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Ethan Quinn■ Daniel Merida Aguilar
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13BarcelonaClayQ2Ethan Quinn6-3 6-1