── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex Michelsen 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Ethan Quinn
Alex Michelsen
40%60%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 31% / 69%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Ethan Quinn
52th · average
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Return
Ethan Quinn
19th · poor
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#81
model rank
#47
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
191cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Ethan QuinnAlex Michelsen
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-24TokyoHardR32Ethan Quinn7-5 6-2
2022-06-13M15 San Diego CAHardSFEthan Quinn6-4 4-6 6-4