── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Arthur Gea 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Arthur Gea
Stefano Travaglia
84%16%
Hard: 86% / 14%
Clay: 44% / 56%
Grass: 64% / 36%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Arthur Gea
44th · average
Stefano Travaglia
15th · poor
Return
Arthur Gea
84th · strong
Stefano Travaglia
31th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#33
model rank
#173
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
180cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Arthur Gea■ Stefano Travaglia
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-16Zadar CHClayFStefano Travaglia2-1 RET
2024-03-25Naples CHClayR32Arthur Gea6-3 6-4