── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Gea 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Gea
Sumit Nagal
83%17%
Hard: 91% / 9%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 76% / 24%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Gea
43th · average
Sumit Nagal
4th · poor
Return
Arthur Gea
84th · strong
Sumit Nagal
41th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#33
model rank
#171
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
IND
180cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Gea■ Sumit Nagal
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | Q1 | Arthur Gea | 6-3 7-6(4) |