── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Gea a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Gea
Denis Shapovalov
56%44%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 48% / 52%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Gea
43th · average
Denis Shapovalov
61th · average
Return
Arthur Gea
84th · strong
Denis Shapovalov
85th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#33
model rank
#49
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
FRA
country
CAN
180cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Gea■ Denis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings