── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Francisco Cerundolo a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Arthur Gea
Francisco Cerundolo
45%55%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 9% / 91%
Grass: 39% / 61%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Arthur Gea
43th · average
Francisco Cerundolo
59th · average
Return
Arthur Gea
84th · strong
Francisco Cerundolo
96th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#33
model rank
#25
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ARG
180cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Arthur Gea■ Francisco Cerundolo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-31Los CabosHardQFArthur Gea6-7(11) 6-4 6-0