── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Gea 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Gea
Tomas Machac
61%39%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 18% / 82%
Grass: 42% / 58%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Gea
43th · average
Tomas Machac
59th · average
Return
Arthur Gea
84th · strong
Tomas Machac
60th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#33
model rank
#64
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
CZE
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Gea■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Beijing | Hard | Q2 | Arthur Gea | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Montpellier | Hard | R16 | Arthur Gea | 6-3 4-5 RET |