── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Gea 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Gea
Michael Zheng
69%31%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 80% / 20%
Grass: 33% / 67%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Gea
43th · average
Michael Zheng
19th · poor
Return
Arthur Gea
84th · strong
Michael Zheng
64th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#33
model rank
#97
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
USA
180cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
Elo — not enough data
■ Arthur Gea■ Michael Zheng
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | US Open | Hard | R32 | Arthur Gea | 7-6(7) 3-6 4-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2026-07-30 | Los Cabos | Hard | R16 | Arthur Gea | 0-6 6-4 6-0 |
| 2026-01-05 | Noumea CH | Hard | SF | Arthur Gea | 4-6 6-1 6-4 |