── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Marin Cilic a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Nishesh Basavareddy
Marin Cilic
49%51%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 7% / 93%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Nishesh Basavareddy
25th · below avg
Marin Cilic
77th · strong
Return
Nishesh Basavareddy
58th · average
Marin Cilic
43th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#85
model rank
#83
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
CRO
180cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Nishesh Basavareddy■ Marin Cilic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-17HangzhouHardR32Nishesh Basavareddy4-6 6-4 6-3