── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Stan Wawrinka
79%21%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 47% / 53%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Stan Wawrinka
69th · average
Return
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Stan Wawrinka
16th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#24
model rank
#129
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
SUI
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Stan Wawrinka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Geneva | Clay | R16 | Alex Michelsen | 7-6(1) 7-6(4) |