── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Stan Wawrinka
68%32%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 50% / 50%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Stan Wawrinka
67th · average
Return
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
Stan Wawrinka
21th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#47
model rank
#116
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
SUI
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Stan Wawrinka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Geneva | Clay | R16 | Alex Michelsen | 7-6(1) 7-6(4) |