── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Gael Monfils
58%42%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 52% / 48%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Gael Monfils
60th · average
Return
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
Gael Monfils
73th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#47
model rank
#73
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
FRA
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Gael Monfils
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-09 | Stuttgart | Grass | R32 | Alex Michelsen | 6-4 4-6 6-3 |