── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Roberto Bautista Agut
70%30%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 38% / 62%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Roberto Bautista Agut
34th · below avg
Return
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
Roberto Bautista Agut
72th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#47
model rank
#122
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ESP
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Roberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-22 | Mallorca | Grass | QF | Alex Michelsen | 6-4 7-6(4) |