── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Adrian Mannarino
76%24%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 42% / 58%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Return
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#24
model rank
#106
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
FRA
193cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Adrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
Grass1–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Washington | Hard | R16 | Alex Michelsen | 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2025-03-31 | Houston | Clay | R16 | Alex Michelsen | 6-7(0) 6-4 6-2 |
| 2024-06-24 | Mallorca | Grass | R16 | Alex Michelsen | 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2023-07-17 | Newport | Grass | F | Adrian Mannarino | 6-2 6-4 |