── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Jan Lennard Struff
70%30%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 39% / 61%
Grass: 37% / 63%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Jan Lennard Struff
67th · average
Return
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Jan Lennard Struff
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#24
model rank
#76
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
GER
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Jan Lennard Struff
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Canada Masters | Hard | R128 | Alex Michelsen | 6-1 3-6 6-1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Alex Michelsen | 6-2 6-1 |