── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Grigor Dimitrov a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
Grigor Dimitrov
47%53%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 32% / 68%
Grass: 29% / 71%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Return
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
Grigor Dimitrov
80th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#47
model rank
#41
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
BUL
193cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ Grigor Dimitrov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Dallas | Hard | R32 | Alex Michelsen | 5-7 6-4 6-4 |