── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Alex Michelsen
James Duckworth
69%31%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 58% / 42%
Grass: 67% / 33%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
James Duckworth
57th · average
Return
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
James Duckworth
11th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#47
model rank
#117
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
AUS
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Alex Michelsen■ James Duckworth
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Grass1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | Hard | R32 | Alex Michelsen | 6-7(4) 7-6(2) 6-3 |
| 2023-07-17 | Newport | Grass | R16 | Alex Michelsen | 4-6 6-3 6-0 |