── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex Michelsen 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Alex Michelsen
Borna Coric
60%40%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 65% / 35%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Borna Coric
66th · average
Return
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
Borna Coric
43th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#47
model rank
#79
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
CRO
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Alex MichelsenBorna Coric
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-09-25TokyoHardQ2Alex Michelsen6-3 6-3